Tools
Tools for the intelligent farm
The spreadsheets, templates, and checklists behind the episodes. Built for perennial and mixed operations, where the standard free templates usually miss the point. Most of them, for example, have no way to amortize the establishment cost of a tree crop that won't produce for five years.
Decision Quality Toolkit
Farm Decision Journal
Record a decision before you make it: the context, options considered, assumptions, and a probabilistic forecast. Review it later to separate good process from lucky outcomes.
Open toolFarm Investment Premortem
Imagine the investment has already failed. Work backwards to identify failure modes, score each by likelihood and impact, and decide whether to proceed.
Open toolLeading-Indicator Tracker
Define the early signals that tell you whether an enterprise is on track before the season ends. Monitor On track, Watch, and Action needed status in real time.
Open toolPost-Season Audit
Structured end-of-season review that separates decision quality from outcome luck. Rate process and outcome independently, place results in a 2x2 matrix, and extract lessons.
Open toolForecast Calibration Scorecard
Track probabilistic forecasts, resolve them when outcomes are known, and measure your calibration over time. A well-calibrated forecaster is right about 70% of the time when they say 70%.
Open toolFarm Economics
Perennial Enterprise Budget
Establishment costs amortized across the productive life of an orchard, so you can see what a block of chestnuts or elderberries actually earns per year. Includes NPV, break-even year, and a full year-by-year table.
Open toolFramework Reference
Learning Architecture One-Pager
The four-part cycle from the Farm Decision Lab, on a single sheet.
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